#News | India has entered a fresh break phase in the southwest monsoon as the strengthening influence of El Nino suppresses rain-bearing weather systems, leading to below-normal rainfall across large parts of the country over the next three to four days. Meteorologists said central, western and northwestern India are expected to witness subdued rainfall, while isolated heavy showers may continue over parts of the Northeast and the Himalayan foothills. Weather experts attributed the dry spell to the absence of three key atmospheric drivers-the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation (BSISO) and Low Pressure Systems (LPS) over the Bay of Bengal. These systems normally help generate clouds, organise thunderstorms and transport moisture inland, sustaining widespread monsoon rainfall across India. The current conditions are being further intensified by El Nino, a periodic warming of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean that disrupts global weather patterns and often weakens the Indian monsoon. Its influence reduces moisture transport and suppresses cloud formation over the subcontinent, resulting in prolonged dry conditions across several regions. Forecasters, however, remain cautiously optimistic about a revival in the second half of July. Forecast models suggest that the MJO, Rossby waves and new low-pressure systems are likely to become active over the Bay of Bengal during the last seven to ten days of the month, which could restore momentum to the monsoon and bring improved rainfall across eastern, central and northern India.